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The potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting EGFR mutations: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) gene mutations can lead to distant metastasis in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). When the primary NSCLC lesions are removed or cannot be sampled, the EGFR status of the metastatic lesions are the potential alternative method to reflect EGFR mutations in the primary NSCLC lesions. This review aimed to evaluate the potential of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting EGFR mutations through a systematic reviews and meta-analysis.

Materials and methods

A systematic review of the studies on MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting EGFR mutations. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity (SNEC), and specificity (SPEC) of each study were separately extracted for comprehensive evaluation of MRI radiomics in predicting EGFR mutations in primary or metastatic NSCLC.

Results

Thirteen studies were ultimately included, with 2369 cases of metastatic NSCLC, including five studies predicting EGFR mutations in primary NSCLC, eight studies predicting EGFR mutations in metastatic NSCL. In terms of EGFR mutations in the primary lesion of NSCLC, the pooled AUC was 0.90, with SENC and SPEC of 0.80 and 0.85, respectively, which seems superior to the radiomics meta-analysis based on NSCLC primary lesions. In terms of EGFR mutations in NSCLC metastases, the pooled AUC was 0.86, with SENC and SEPC of 0.79 and 0.79, respectively, indicating moderate evaluation performance.

Conclusions

MRI radiomics helps to predict the EGFR mutation status in the primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC, serve as a high-precision supplement to current molecular detection methods.

Introduction

Lung cancer is the most common malignant cancer in the world, with incidence rate ranking second and mortality ranking first [1]. According to statistics, among the lung cancer deaths in the United States in 2023, approximately 103,000 cancer cases will be caused by direct smoking [2]. Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounts for approximately 80% of lung cancer cases, with adenocarcinoma being the most common. However, about 40% of NSCLC patients experience distant metastasis at initial diagnosis, with the most common locations being the brain, spine, and liver [3,4,5].

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), as a tyrosine receptor, is the main driving gene and therapeutic target of NSCLC [6]. The mutation rate of EGFR in East Asian populations was as high as 40% -50%, while in Western populations it was 10%–20% [7]. EGFR gene mutations mainly occur in exons 18–21, and mutations at different loci can lead to different pathways of metastasis. For example, patients with EGFR exon 19 mutations were more likely to experience brain parenchymal metastasis [8], while patients with EGFR exon 21 mutations were more likely to experience liver metastasis [9]. Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) targeting EGFR have become an effective treatment for improving the prognosis of NSCLC patients with EGFR mutations [10]. However, EGFR mutation detection typically requires invasive tissue or blood biopsy, which has limitations such as difficulty in obtaining primary lesion, sampling bias, high cost, long processing time, and poor representativeness of results [11]. In addition, when the primary lesion is removed or cannot be sampled, metastases may be a potential alternative method to reflect the EGFR status of the primary lesion.

Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is considered an important non-invasive method for evaluating distant metastasis of NSCLC, the potential of traditional MRI images to predict EGFR mutations in the primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC remains a controversial issue [12]. Radiomics is a computer-assisted approach to breaking through visual information on the basis of traditional medical imaging, quantifying image features similar to high-throughput genes, and further exploring the correlation between features and genes [13]. Through investigation, it was found that radiomics studies based on computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) images had shown great potential in predicting EGFR mutations in the primary lesion of NSCLC. For example, a meta-analysis was conducted based on 14 CT radiomics studies, and it was found that predicting EGFR mutations in primary lesions had a moderate effect, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 [14]; based on 17 PET/CT radiomic studies, the meta-analysis results of the training and validation cohorts were statistically analyzed, with pooled AUC, sensitivity (SNEC), and specificity (SPEC) of 0.84, 0.76, 0.78, and 0.82, 0.76, 0.75, respectively [15]. However, no meta-analysis based on MRI radiomics had been found to summarize the potential value of radiomics in predicting EGFR mutations in NSCLC; the comprehensive potential of MRI radiomics based on images of extrapulmonary metastases for predicting EFGR mutations in the primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC had not yet been discovered.

Therefore, this meta-analysis aims to evaluate the accuracy of predicting EGFR mutations in primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC patients based on MRI radiomics features of extrapulmonary metastatic tumor images, as well as the potential value of evaluating EGFR-TKI treatment response.

Results

Baseline characteristics of literature inclusion

A total of 48 original studies were identified based on keywords. Three studies were based on the same batch of samples for radiomics analysis of intratumoral or peritumoral region features, so only one study with the best summary performance was included. After excluding original studies that met at least one exclusion criterion, 13 studies (12 training cohorts and 15 validation cohorts) were included, with a total of 2369 cases of NSCLC metastases [3,4,5, 16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25]. According to the different lesion locations of EGFR mutation, there were 5 studies predicting EGFR mutations in primary lung cancer lesions, including 2 NSCLC spinal metastases and 3 NSCLC brain metastases; and 8 studies predicting EGFR mutations in metastatic lung cancer lesions, including 5 cases of NSCLC spinal metastases, 1 case of NSCLC brain metastases, and 2 cases of NSCLC liver metastases. In addition, 2 studies predicting EGFR-ITK response based on metastatic lung cancer lesions, including 1 cases of NSCLC spinal metastases, 1 case of NSCLC brain metastases (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Flowchart of this study

Quality evaluation

All studies were retrospective, with 6 studies being multicenter studies. 10 studies were based on Siemens scanners, and 3 studies were based on Siemens and GE or GE and Philips scanners. 11 studies were based on ITK-snap software, 1 study was based on 3D slicer software for image segmentation, and 1 study was not mentioned. All studies were based on the open-source PyRadiomics software package for feature extraction, with 10 based on MRI multi sequence extraction and 3 based on MRI single sequence extraction. 12 studies included over 1000 features, while only one study included 107 features. All studies were based on multi-strategy feature selection, among which the intra-class correlation coefficient, Mann–Whitney U tests, and LASSO joint strategy were the most common. All studies were based on linear regression for model development. 9 studies developed joint models based on multiple sequence features, while two studies developed joint models based on multiple sequence features and smoking status. 11 studies were based on 10 or fivefold cross-validation to validate model performance, while 2 studies were not mentioned. 9 studies were analyzed based on the features of intratumoral regions, of which 2 studies were based on tumor subregions; 4 studies were analyzed based on the features of intratumoral and peritumoral regions (Table 1).

Table 1 Baseline characteristics of literature inclusion

The RQS score range for 13 studies was 10–17 points, with an average of (13 ± 2) points and an average proportion of 36% (13/36). All studies evaluated study type, image protocols, feature selection, model performance, and model validation; 11 studies used multiple segmentation of images; 4 studies calibrated the statistical data; 5 studies evaluated the clinical utility; one study evaluated the potential of non-radiomic features. All studies had not evaluated biological relevance, cost-effectiveness, and open science. According to the modified QUADS-2 standard, all studies were of high quality (QUADAS-2 ≥ 7). All studies had a lower risk of bias in patient selection tests, reference standard tests, and flow and timing tests. The risk of bias in index testing was higher in 7 studies (54%), while the risk of bias was lower in 6 studies (46%) (Fig. 2).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Methodological quality evaluation of studies based on RQS and QUADAS-2

Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR mutation in primary NSCLS based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases

Table 2 summarizes the basic characteristics of 5 original studies based on MRI radiomics in extrapulmonary metastases for predicting primary NSCLS EGFR mutation. A total of 14 cohorts were included, with 1112 cases of extrapulmonary metastases, including 592 cases of EGFR mutation positive and 520 cases of EGFR mutation negative. The AUC, SENC, and SPEC of all cohorts were between 0.74–0.97, 0.67–0.96, and 0.71–0.97, respectively. The pooled SENC, pooled SPEC, pooled AUC, and sROC curves were used to evaluate the potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting primary NSCLS EGFR mutation. The results showed that the pooled SENC and pooled SPEC were 0.80 [95% confidence Interval (CI), 0.74–0.85] and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.80–0.88), respectively. The forest map is shown in Figs. 3A and 4A. There were significant heterogeneity in both pooled SENC (I2 = 60.98%, P < 0.01) and pooled SPEC (I2 = 44.95%, P = 0.03). Through sROC curve analysis, the pooled AUC was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.87–0.92), as shown in Fig. 5A, indicating higher evaluation performance. The existence of publication bias was detected by Deek’s funnel plots, which mean that publication bias does not exist (t = − 0.46, P = 0.65, Fig. 6A).

Table 2 Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR mutation in primary NSCLC based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases
Fig. 3
figure 3

Forest plots of pooled SENC of predicting EGFR mutations based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases. A NSCLC primary lesions; B NSCLC metastatic lesions

Fig. 4
figure 4

Forest plots of pooled SPEC of predicting EGFR mutations based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases. A NSCLC primary lesions; B NSCLC metastatic lesions

Fig. 5
figure 5

sROC of predicting EGFR mutations based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases. A NSCLC primary lesions; B NSCLC metastatic lesions

Fig. 6
figure 6

Begg’s funnel plots for the publication bias test of predicting EGFR mutations based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases. A NSCLC primary lesions; B NSCLC metastatic lesions

Subgroup analysis of radiomics based on the location and cohort type of extrapulmonary metastases. Based on the location, the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on brain metastases were 0.84 (95% CI, 0.80–0.88), 0.88 (95% CI, 0.84–0.91), and 0.93, respectively; the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on spinal metastases were 0.73 (95% CI 0.66–0.79), 0.80 (95% CI 0.73–0.85), and 0.83, respectively. Based on the cohort type, the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on training cohorts were 0.79 (95% CI 0.74–0.83), 0.87 (95% CI 0.82–0.90), and 0.93, respectively; the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on validation cohorts were 0.79 (95% CI 0.73–0.83), 0.82 (95% CI 0.76–0.87), and 0.88, respectively.

Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR mutation in metastatic NSCLS based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases

Table 3 summarizes the basic characteristics of 8 original studies based on MRI radiomics in extrapulmonary metastases for predicting metastatic NSCLS EGFR mutation. A total of 18 cohorts were included, with 1198 cases of extrapulmonary metastases, including 657 cases of EGFR mutation positive and 541 cases of EGFR mutation negative. The AUC, SENC, and SPEC of all cohorts were between 0.73–0.90, 0.58–0.95, and 0.61–0.92, respectively. The pooled SENC, pooled SPEC, pooled AUC, sROC curves were used to evaluate the potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting primary NSCLS EGFR mutation. The results showed that the pooled SENC and pooled SPEC were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74–0.83) and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.74–0.83), respectively. The forest map is shown in Figs. 3B and 4B. There were no significant heterogeneity in both pooled SENC (I2 = 30.72%, P = 0.11) and pooled SPEC (I2 = 18.23%, P = 0.24). Through sROC curve analysis, the pooled AUC was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82–0.89), as shown in Fig. 5B, indicating moderate evaluation performance. The existence of publication bias was detected by Deek’s funnel plots, which mean that publication bias does not exist (t = − 1.80, P = 0.09, Fig. 6B).

Table 3 Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR mutation in metastatic NSCLC based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases

Based on the location, the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on liver metastases were 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70–0.85), 0.73 (95% CI 0.65–0.79), and 0.83, respectively; the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on spinal metastases were 0.78 (95% CI 0.74–0.82), 0.82 (95% CI 0.77–0.86), and 0.88, respectively. Based on the cohort type, the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on training cohorts were 0.81 (95% CI 0.77–0.85), 0.78 (95% CI 0.74–0.83), and 0.88, respectively; the pooled SENC, SPEC, and AUC based on validation cohorts were 0.73 (95% CI 0.67–0.79), 0.78 (95% CI 0.71–0.83), and 0.83, respectively.

Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR-ITK response based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases

Table 4 summarized the basic characteristics of 2 original studies for predicting EGFR-ITK response based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases. A total of 5 cohorts were included, with 285 cases of extrapulmonary metastases, including 138 cases of EGFR-ITK response positive and 147 cases of EGFR-ITK response negative. The AUC, SENC, and SPEC of all cohorts were between 0.76–0.87, 0.71–0.88, and 0.63–0.88, respectively. The pooled SENC, pooled SPEC, pooled AUC, sROC curves were used to evaluate the potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting primary NSCLS EGFR mutation. The results showed that the pooled SENC and pooled SPEC were 0.77 (95% CI 0.67–0.84) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.69–0.87), respectively. There were no significant heterogeneity in both pooled SENC (I2 = 0.00%, P = 0.53) and pooled SPEC (I2 = 51.08%, P = 0.09). Through sROC curve analysis, the pooled AUC was 0.84 (95% CI 0.81–0.87), indicating moderate evaluation performance. The existence of publication bias was detected by Deek's funnel plots, which mean that publication bias does not exist (t = − 1.70, P = 0.19).

Table 4 Comprehensive literature analysis of predicting EGFR-ITK response based on MRI radiomics from extrapulmonary metastases

Clinical utility

Fagan's analysis indicated that MRI radiomics, based on extrapulmonary metastasis, predicted a post-detection probability of EGFR mutations to be 57% and 48%, respectively, in primary and metastatic lesions of NSCLC (Fig. 7).

Fig. 7
figure 7

Fagan nomogram for the elucidation of post-test probabilities with a pre-test probability. A NSCLC primary lesions; B NSCLC metastatic lesions

Meta-analysis investigation of NSCLC EGFR mutations based on artificial intelligence

The meta-analysis of NSCLC EGFR mutations based on AI is presented in Table 5. A total of 3 meta-analyses were found [14, 15, 26], including 35 (CT, PET/CT, MRI), 17 (PET/CT), and 14 (CT) radiomics studies, with pooled AUC of 0.79, 0.84 (0.82), and 0.80, respectively. The pooled AUC of this review was 0.90, which seemed superior to the AI meta-analysis based on NSCLC primary lesions.

Table 5 Meta-analysis investigation of EGFR mutation in primary NSCLC based on artificial intelligence

Discussion

EGFR mutation can lead to distant metastasis of NSCLC and is also an important site for targeted treatment of advanced NSCLC. Non-invasive acquisition of EGFR mutation status helps in the development of targeted treatment plans. To the best of our knowledge, this review is the first meta-analysis of the potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases to predict EGFR mutations in the primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC. The meta-analysis results showed satisfactory diagnostic accuracy. In terms of EGFR mutations in the primary lesion of NSCLC, the pooled AUC was 0.90, with SENC and SEPC of 0.80 and 0.85, respectively, which seems superior to the radiomics meta-analysis based on NSCLC primary lesions. In terms of EGFR mutations in NSCLC metastases, the pooled AUC was 0.86, with SENC and SEPC of 0.79 and 0.79, respectively, indicating moderate evaluation performance. Furthermore, in the evaluation of targeted therapy for NSCLC with distant metastasis, the pooled AUC was 0.84, with SENC and SEPC of 0.77 and 0.80, respectively, showing moderate performance. However, lower RQS evaluations indicated that methodological quality assessment remained a significant challenge in current AI transformation applications, highlighting the importance of developing standardized guidelines. Despite the limitations of MRI radiomics studies, it had great potential in predicting EGFR mutations and evaluating targeted therapies in the primary or metastatic lesions of NSCLC.

AI, such as, radiomics, deep learning, and pathomics, have been widely used for predicting EGFR mutations in primary lung cancer. For example, the multiphase CT radiomics models based on preoperative non-enhanced and enhanced image features had been validated to perform well in predicting the EGFR mutation status of 424 NSCLC cases [27]; deep learning models based on PET/CT demonstrated high accuracy in predicting EGFR mutation status from NSCLC patient cohorts from different centers [28]. The development of deep learning networks based on H&E images could serve as a high-precision supplement to current molecular detection methods and provide treatment opportunities for NSCLC patients with limited available samples [29]. As far as we know, CT and PET/CT are the most explored medical images in AI, and their potential value in carrying image information has been comprehensively evaluated through meta-analysis. However, the meta-analysis based on CT radiomics only analyzed the pooled AUC, lacking a comprehensive analysis of SNEC and SPEC; a meta-analysis based on PET/CT radiomics lacked a comparative analysis of a single PET radiomics. In addition, the application of MRI in the evaluation of primary lesions in NSCLC is still in its early stages, with more applications in the evaluation of metastatic lesions in NSCLC, especially in the brain, spine, and liver. When the primary lesion is removed or cannot be sampled, the EGFR status of the metastatic lesions can reflect the EGFR mutation status of the primary lesion. Therefore, MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases have gradually been applied to predict the EGFR mutation status of primary or metastatic lesions. For example, the combination model developed based on radiomics features of the entire tumor, tumor activity area, and peritumoral edema area performed well in predicting EGFR mutations in NSCLC primary lesions, with the SENC of 0.75 [18]; the combined model developed based on radiomics and deep learning features had been validated to achieve medium to high performance in predicting EGFR mutations in NSCLC metastases [16]. However, the conclusions of a single study still cannot represent the potential clinical value of MRI radiology, and a meta-analysis is still needed to integrate all published studies in order to obtain more reliable conclusions.

All steps in AI medical studies are interrelated, and the main steps include: imaging acquisition and protocol, image segmentation, feature extraction, model development and evaluation, quality control, and interpretability analysis (Fig. 8). Any error in any stage can lead to the accumulation and transmission of errors, resulting in unreliable results and inability to achieve repeatability and validation [30]. In imaging acquisition and protocol, the variations in MRI imaging are primarily attributed to machine types and parameter settings, which can be addressed through image normalization methods such as Z-score and max-min. Although normalization methods are frequently applied in this context, the analysis of differences before and after normalization remains worthy. Image segmentation encompasses manual, semi-automatic, and fully automatic methods, with manual segmentation currently being the predominant approach, largely accomplished through software such as ITK-SNAP, 3D-SLICER, and Labelme. The effectiveness of segmentation primarily relies on collaborative segmentation by multiple individuals or individual segmentation followed by assessment using ICC, which involves segmentation by different physicians at the same time point and by the same physician at different time points. Feature extraction primarily depends on the Pyradiomics package, with the rationalization of feature formulation being subject to the quality control of the Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative (IBSI). Feature types include original features and transformation features. Original features encompass first order, shape, gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM), gray-level dependence matrix (GLDM), gray-level run length matrix (GLRLM), gray-level size zone matrix (GLSZM), and neighboring gray tone difference matrix (NGTDM). Transformation features include wavelet, logarithm, exponential, gradient, square, square root, etc. Interestingly, wavelet transformation features, with a relatively larger number compared to other features, seem to be more frequently selected for model development. Whether this is due to the importance of wavelet features or their quantity remains worthy. Feature selection often employs multi-strategy approaches, including testing and algorithm selection. Model development primarily utilizes machine learning or deep learning algorithms. However, most studies only employ one or a few algorithms, raising the question of which algorithm is best suited for a particular feature—whether a feature performs well in only one algorithm or across multiple algorithms. Model evaluation predominantly mentions AUC in many studies, but comparisons between algorithms are not solely based on intuitive AUC comparisons; they can be further facilitated through methods such as the Delong test, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Many studies adopt decision curve analysis (DCA) as an assessment of clinical potential, although its substantial value still warrants further analysis. AI medical studies needs to establish strict methodological quality evaluation standards and reporting guidelines in order to accelerate clinical translation. This meta-analysis evaluated the methodological quality of the studies based on the RQS and QUADAS-2 methods. The average RQS level of this meta-analysis was 13 points, ranging from 10 to 17 points, indicating that the quality of MRI radiomics was not very high, similar to the results of other meta-analyses [14]. The main reason was that all studies did not disclose biological significance, threshold setting, cost, open science, multiple timepoints, and were all retrospective designs. However, based on the modified QUADS-2 method, all studies had scores greater than or equal to 7, and disclosed patient selection, reference criteria, flow and timing. However, due to internal validation used in six studies, the risk of index testing bias was high. Based on another perspective of methodological quality analysis, this meta-analysis included 13 studies, of which 50% were designed based on multi centers, 77% of image acquisition were based on Siemens scanners, 77% of image sequences were based on multi sequences, 85% of image segmentation were based on ITK-snap software, 100% of feature extraction were based on PyRadiomics software package, 92% of feature selection were based on multi strategies (ICC, Mann Whitney U tests, and LASSO), 100% of model development were based on logistic linear regression, 85% of model development were based on cross-validation, 69% of feature sources were based on intratumoral regions, and 62% of metastases were located in the spine. The study differences come from: (1) data sources: multicenter research makes the conclusions more stable; (2) the difference in information carried by MRI image sequences: the complementary information of multiple sequences leads to higher prediction results; (3) the MRI features come from different sources: the overall intra tumor regional features represent the average features, ignoring the heterogeneity within the tumor, while the sub regional and extra regional features of the tumor explain the heterogeneity, resulting in higher prediction results [31]; and (4) differences in the location of metastases. The interpretability of radiomics features is currently an urgent issue that needs to be addressed. As of now, the biological significance of radiomics is interpreted based on radiogenomics [32]. For example, it had been found that clustering based on PET features was associated with the cell cycle and WNT signaling pathways in lung adenocarcinoma, as well as with the cell cycle, p53, and WNT in lung squamous cell carcinoma [33]. Multiple correlations between CT radiomics features and representative genes of typical molecular pathways had been identified, allowing for non-invasive identification of the molecular nature of lung cancer [34]. Currently, the interpretability of radiomics features is still being explored in terms of correlations with clinical samples, lacking validation through molecular and animal experiments. And as revealed by EGFR investigations, the causal relationship between extrapulmonary MRI radiomics features and EGFR remains an unstudied area.

Fig. 8
figure 8

The main steps and quality control interpretation of radiomics

To the best of our knowledge, compared to CT (AUC = 0.80) and PET/CT (AUC = 0.84), the meta-analysis of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases appeared to perform better in predicting EGFR mutations in the primary lesion of NSCLC (AUC = 0.9). According to subgroup analysis, it was found that the predictive performance was still above 0.8 depending on the location of different metastatic foci and cohort types. In terms of pooled SENC and SEPC evaluation, there was low heterogeneity, however, compared to meta-analyses of other EGFR mutations, heterogeneity was relatively low. In evidence-based medicine, publication bias may significantly affected the results of meta-analysis and may lead to misleading conclusions. Based on Begg’s funnel plots for evaluating publication bias in included studies, it was found that there was no statistically significant publication bias. When the primary lesions are removed or cannot be sampled, EGFR mutations based on metastatic lesions can serve as a substitute for the primary lesion situation. The meta-analysis of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases also demonstrated excellent potential in predicting EGFR mutations of NSCLC metastases (AUC = 0.86). However, there was no significant heterogeneity in the pooled SENC and SEPC. Based on Begg’s Funnel plots for evaluating publication bias in included studies, it was also found that there was no statistically significant publication bias. In summary, it seems that radiomics analysis based on extrapulmonary metastases carries more EGFR mutation information, which may be related to differences in imaging principles.

This meta-analysis also has limitations. Firstly, the analyzed population was all Chinese, and the generalization ability of the conclusion was insufficient. Secondly, all included studies were retrospective, emphasizing the necessity of prospective studies. Thirdly, both RQS and QUADAS-2 had evaluation limitations and their interpretations were controversial. Finally, the number of studies included was small, which did not exclude the possibility of excessive exclusion during the literature screening process.

Conclusions

In summary, although there are some limitations, the prospects of MRI radiomics in predicting genetic information changes of EGFR gene in NSCLC primary and metastatic lesions cannot be denied, which is more in line with the requirements of precision medicine. However, the overall methodological quality of MRI radiomics still needs to be improved. In addition, the causal relationship between the information carried by MRI and the genetic information of genes still needs to be verified through scientific prospective experiments to promote the clinical translation of artificial intelligence.

Methods

Literature search program

A systematic search was conducted on original studies published before March 1, 2024 in the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science database using keywords “Radiomics”, “Lung”, “EGFR”, “EGFR-TKI", “Metastasis”, and “Metastases”.

Two reviewers with more than 3 years of experience in oncological imaging diagnosis independently reviewed the original study of preoperative radiomics, including the study abstract and full text. When disputes arose among reviewers, the final decision should be made by reviewers with more than 5 years of experience in oncological imaging diagnosis.

Literature screening criteria

The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) radiomics studies; (2) confirmed by pathological or imaging examination as metastatic lung cancer; (3) preoperative MRI examination with metastatic lung cancer; (4) EGFR mutation/EGFR-ITK response data; (5) SENC and SPEC indicators could be directly/indirectly extracted from the full text.

The exclusion criteria were as follows: (1) comments, meta-analyses, case reports, guidelines or errata, repeated studies; (2) postoperative radiomics studies; (3) preoperative anti-tumor treatment; (4) deep learning or non-radiomics studies of EGFR mutation/EGFR-ITK response.

Literature data extraction

The literature data were extracted from the original studies: (1) basic characteristics (author, publication year, and study design); (2) cohort characteristics (cohort type, cohort sample size, and cohort EGFR mutation/EGFR-ITK response); (3) image characteristics (image segmentation software, radiomics software, feature selection strategy, and model algorithms); (4) evaluation indicators (AUC, SENC, and SPEC). The number of true positives (TP), true negatives (TN), false positives (FP), and false negatives (FN) were calculated according to the SENC and SPEC in each study report [35]. If there were two or more models based on the same cohort in a study, the model with higher performance was included.

Quality evaluation

The Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) was used to evaluate radiomics quality, which was an important tool to measure the rigor of artificial intelligence (AI) study [36, 37]. RQS included 16 evaluation indexes, including image acquisition, image preprocessing, validation, performance evaluation, practicality, open science. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) was used to evaluate the risk of bias at the study level, including bias in fields such as: (1) patient selection, (2) index test, (3) reference standard, and (4) flow and timing. The risk of bias in each field was classified as low (score = 2), high (score = 1), or unclear (score = 0). A modified version of QUADAS-2 proposed by Sollini et al. and verified by Bedrikovetski et al. was used [38, 39]. RQS, QUADAS-2, and phases classification were developed by two reviewers with more than 3 years of experience in oncological imaging diagnostics independently.

Statistical analysis

Stata and MetaDiSc software were used for summary analysis and plotting [40]. The Cochrane diagnostic test and I2 statistic are used to evaluate heterogeneity between studies, with I2 values greater than 50% indicating high heterogeneity [41]. Deek’s funnel plots were used to assess whether the analysis was subject to publication bias [42]. The summary receiver operating characteristic (sROC) curve demonstrated the predictive potential of radiomics studies. Clinical practicality was evaluated based on probability after testing and the Fagan plots were created [43]. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Availability of data and materials

No datasets were generated or analyzed during the current study.

Abbreviations

EGFR:

Epidermal growth factor receptor

NSCLC:

Non-small cell lung cancer

MRI:

Magnetic resonance imaging

AUC:

Area under the curve

SENC:

Sensitivity

SPEC:

Specificity

TKI:

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors

CT:

Computed tomography

PET/CT:

Positron emission tomography/computed tomography

TP:

True positives

TN:

True negatives

FP:

False positives

FN:

False negatives

RQS:

Radiomics Quality Score

AI:

Artificial intelligence

QUADAS-2:

Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies

sROC:

Summary receiver operating characteristic

IBSI:

Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative

GLCM:

Gray-level co-occurrence matrix

GLDM:

Gray-level dependence matrix

GLRLM:

Gray-level run length matrix

GLSZM:

Gray-level size zone matrix

NGTDM:

Neighboring gray tone difference matrix

NRI:

Net reclassification index

IDI:

Integrated discrimination improvement

DCA:

Decision curve analysis

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Acknowledgements

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Funding

This study was funded by the Science and Technology Planning Project of Maoming City (2024109).

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Study design: Linyong Wu and Dayou Wei. Literature search and study selection: Linyong Wu and Songhua Li. Data extraction and quality assessment: Yan Li, Shaofeng Wu and Lifei Chen. Statistical analysis: Linyong Wu and Dayou Wei. Study supervision: Linyong Wu and Dayou Wei. Editing and review of the manuscript: all authors. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.

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Correspondence to Dayou Wei.

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Wu, L., Wei, D., Li, S. et al. The potential of MRI radiomics based on extrapulmonary metastases in predicting EGFR mutations: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BioMed Eng OnLine 24, 4 (2025). https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s12938-025-01331-6

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